Okay easy blog first: What should win/What will win (As always, happy if a should win makes an upset tomorrow.)
Best Motion Picture:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant - Will Win
Room
Spotlight - Should Win/DID WIN!!! I'M SO TOTALLY HAPPY ABOUT THIS!
I mean. Carol should be nominated. But I do really love Spotlight - it's great, and I'm glad it won the indie.
Best Actor:
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant - Should Win/Will Win/Did Win
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Huh - I'm not thrilled with this category at all. So I'll go with Leo, although he was better in both Catch Me if You Can and Wolf of Wall Street.
Best Actress:
Brie Larson, Room - Will win/Did Win
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn - Should win
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Best Motion Picture:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant - Will Win
Room
Spotlight - Should Win/DID WIN!!! I'M SO TOTALLY HAPPY ABOUT THIS!
I mean. Carol should be nominated. But I do really love Spotlight - it's great, and I'm glad it won the indie.
Best Actor:
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant - Should Win/Will Win/Did Win
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Huh - I'm not thrilled with this category at all. So I'll go with Leo, although he was better in both Catch Me if You Can and Wolf of Wall Street.
Best Actress:
Brie Larson, Room - Will win/Did Win
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn - Should win
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Cate Blanchett and Rooney Mara should absolutely be in the opposite categories (as should Alicia Vikander). So I'm not voting for them (although Rooney Mara does absolutely amazing work.) So it comes down to Brie Larson and Saoirse Ronan for me. They're both excellent, and Saorsie *just* nudges it out for me, as she carries the whole film so well.
Best Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight - Should Win
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl - Will Win/Did Win
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
CATEGORY FRAUD AHOY. I'd be okay if Alicia Vikander were up for Ex Machina. Sheesh. I've heard Kate Winslet is excellent in Jobs, but I'm going to go with Rachel McAdams, who was great in Spotlight (the whole cast was - I'm sorry it didn't get more recognition in acting in Oscars - I'm thrilled it got the Altman at the Indies.)
Best Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies - Should Win/Did Win - YAAAAY!!!
Sylvester Stallone, Creed - Will Win
Best Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight - Should Win
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl - Will Win/Did Win
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
CATEGORY FRAUD AHOY. I'd be okay if Alicia Vikander were up for Ex Machina. Sheesh. I've heard Kate Winslet is excellent in Jobs, but I'm going to go with Rachel McAdams, who was great in Spotlight (the whole cast was - I'm sorry it didn't get more recognition in acting in Oscars - I'm thrilled it got the Altman at the Indies.)
Best Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies - Should Win/Did Win - YAAAAY!!!
Sylvester Stallone, Creed - Will Win
Christian Bale was also easily the best part of the Big Short. I thought Ruffalo was the weakest link in Spotlight - his big monologue was too showy.
Best Director:
Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win
Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant - Will Win/Did Win. Ugh.
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Best Animated Film:
Anomalisa - Probably Should Win (I haven't seen it yet!)
Boy and the World
Inside Out - Will Win/Did Win
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
Best Documentary Feature:
Amy - Will Win/Did Win
Cartel Land
What Happened, Miss Simone?
The Look of Silence - Should Win
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
Best Costume Design:
Carol - Should Win
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road - Will Win/Did Win
The Revenant
Best Director:
Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win
Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant - Will Win/Did Win. Ugh.
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Best Original Screenplay:
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
Straight Outta Compton
Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Big Short - Did Win. Ugh. Kill it.
Brooklyn
Carol - Should Win
The Martian
Room - Will Win
It may actually be The Big Short, but I hated the writing so much that I can't deal with that. So I'm going with Room as will win.
Anomalisa - Probably Should Win (I haven't seen it yet!)
Boy and the World
Inside Out - Will Win/Did Win
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
Best Documentary Feature:
Amy - Will Win/Did Win
Cartel Land
What Happened, Miss Simone?
The Look of Silence - Should Win
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
Best Foreign Language Film:
Embrace of the Serpent
Mustang
Son of Saul - Should Win/Will Win/Did Win
Theeb
A War
Although I do still really want to see Mustang.
Carol - Should Win
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road - Will Win/Did Win
The Revenant
I think Sandy Powell will split her own votes, so yay Mad Max!
Best Sound Editing:
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Sound Mixing:
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Sound Mixing:
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Cinematography:
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
Sicario
I love the Cinematography in all of these. But the cinematography was easily the best part of the Revenant, and I so love Emmanuel Lubezki's work and pretty wilderness shots. I'm not sure I want him to win three in a row (Roger Deakins already!!), but there it is. That's what the Revenant has to recommend itself. Long pretty shots of birch trees.
Best Film Editing:
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win YAAAAAAAAAS
The Revenant
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Production Design:
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
The Martian
The Revenant
Best Original Score:
Bridge of Spies
Carol - Should Win
The Hateful Eight - Will Win/Did Win
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
That said, I do love the Hateful Eight score. I loved that movie - and I'm sorry it's not up for more.
Best Original Song:
“Earned It,” 50 Shades Of Grey - Should Win
“Manta Ray,” Racing Extinction
“Simple Song #3,” Youth
“Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground - Will Win
“Writing’s on the Wall,” Spectre - Did Win. KILL IT WITH FIRE.
WHY WOULD YOU NOMINATE THE SPECTRE SONG?! (I also really like Manta Ray - and I'm absolutely appalled that the Oscars didn't invite Anohni to perform. I actually thought the Weeknd would have more of a shot here, but prevailing opinion is Lady Gaga has this in the bag.)
Best Visual Effects:
Ex Machina - Did Win. Whoa. Good for them.
Mad Max: Fury Road - Should Win
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - Will Win
Hmmm - I'm very torn on this. My gut reaction is Mad Max, but part of the appeal of the film was just how much of it was done with practical effects. The VES awards all went Star Wars - so I'm going to say that Star Wars takes this one.
Best Makeup & Hairstyling:
Mad Max - Should Win/ Will Win/Did Win
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out a Window and Disappeared
The Revenant
Best Documentary Short:
Body Team 12 - Will Win & from what I hear Should Win
Chau Behind the Lines
Claude Lanzman
A Girl in the River - Did Win
Last Day of Freedom
Best Live Action Short Film:
Ave Maria - Will Win
Day One
Everything Will Be Okay - Should Win
Shok
Stutterer - Did Win. I'm okay with this! It was the only one I actually enjoyed.
Hum. The only one I liked was Stutterer, and that was too precious. The prevailing crowd wisdom seems to be Ave Maria, which I thought was not particularly well done, although it was an interesting setting. I thought the German film was probably best, although the subject matter was so harrowing to watch. Then again, the Academy skews Jewish, so I think Ave Maria might edge it out.
Best Animated Short Film:
Bear Story - Did Win. UGH. UGH UGH UGH.
Prologue
Sanjay’s Super Team
We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow - Should Win/ Will Win.
I refuse to believe the Pixar one will pull it out over this.
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