Oscars Follow up

THAT WAS THE MOST AMAZING THING THAT HAS EVER HAPPENED.

Yes, it SUCKS that the Moonlight producers didn't have their names called and that they didn't get their proper moment in the spotlight (pun only slightly intended). But GODDAMN if that wasn't the most dramatic way for Moonlight to upset La La Land. I'm so happy it won. That movie is a revelation.

Best picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land - Will Win
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight - Should win, DID WIN

OH MY GODDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD

Lead actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - Did Win
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land,
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences - Will Win

What I said then: I'm giving this to Denzel by a hair, because actors make up the biggest bloc of oscar voters. But Casey Affleck has won more primary awards. I'm not sure who should win out of this group - they largely wouldn't be my picks - Denzel was good, but not great; Casey was brilliant, but a horrible human being, so I find myself going for Andrew (I see this almost as a co-nomination for Silence. Cough: https://letterboxd.com/harryrossi/list/2016-films-with-andrew-garfield-as-an-explicitly/)

Now: Poor Brie Larson. I maintain that Casey should have won for the Assassination of Jesse James, back before I'm Not There. This is still a shockingly weak category, especially given that the actress category had to cut Annette Benning and Amy Adams.

Lead actress
Isabelle Huppert, Elle - Should Win
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land - Will Win, Did Win
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

What I said then: UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Now: At least she looked nice. Isabelle was still better.

Supporting actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - Will Win, Should Win, Did Win!!!!!!
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Supporting actress
Viola Davis, Fences - Will Win, Did Win
Naomie Harris, Moonlight - Should Win
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Best director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land - Will Win, Did Win
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight - Should Win
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

I stand by this: UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

THIS, however, is hilarious to me:

(I mean, props to the producers who handled that awful situation with grace, but Barry Jenkins should've won director full stop.)

Animated feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia - Will Win, Did Win

What I said then: Haven't seen My Life as a Zucchini or the Red Turtle, so hard to say what should win. I personally prefer Moana to Zootopia, but I can see why Zootopia will win.

Now: I still really want to see the Red Turtle

Animated short
Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
Pear Cider and Cigarettes
Pearl
Piper - Will win, should win, Did Win

Adapted screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight - Will win, should win, Did Win

Original screenplay
20th Century Women
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster - Should win
Manchester by the Sea - Will win, Did Win

I stand by this: The Lobster and 20th Century Women should be up for best picture.

Cinematography
Arrival
La La Land
Lion - Will win, Did Win
Moonlight - Should win
Silence

What I said then: I'm going with the guild on this one. The popular opinion is that La La Land will take it, but I JUST CAN'T. I HATE La La Land's cinematography. And the experts thought Roger Deakins would win a few years back and then he didn't. Moonlight won a number of precursors, so there's some hope there. If La La Land wins this one, I will fucking break things. Should win is tricky. I'm giving it to Moonlight by a hair. I do really like Silence's too. (I'm a sucker for foggy landscapes). Lion's was interesting, but I'm mostly hoping it'll beat LA. (Beat LA!)

Now: I'm still fucking angry about this one. The lighting, particularly in that opening, was godawful.

Best documentary feature
13th
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America - Will win, Did Win

Best documentary short subject
4.1 Miles
Extremist
Joe’s Violin - Will win
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets, Did Win

What I said then: Extremis is more nominated, but apparently Joe's Violin more crowd-pleasing/oscar baity. That said, an anti-Trump vote for White Helmets could carry the day. But that may be confined to the foreign category below.

Now: I'm good with the anti-trump message. (Also - every time anyone in the LALALA crew says it was hard to make LLL, they should be forced to spend a day filming in Syria.)

Best live-action short film
Ennemis Interieurs - Will win
La Femme et le TGV
Silent Nights
Sing Did Win
Timecode

What I said then: Timecode as spoiler for winning a palme.

Now: Did.... anyone see this coming?

Best foreign language film
A Man Called Ove
Land of Mine
Tanna
The Salesman - Will Win, Did Win
Toni Erdmann

What I said then: ELLE SHOULD WIN. Harumph. (Not to mention Korea not even SUBMITTING The Handmaiden.) The Salesman has built a second phase anti-trump narrative, so I think it has edged Toni Erdmann, which had been in the lead. I still really want to see Tanna. I keep missing it.

Now: I stand by the above. But Anousheh Ansari reading Asghar Farhadi's statement was beautiful.

Film editing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge Did Win
Hell or High Water
La La Land - Will win
Moonlight - Should Win (although Arrival's editing is great, and Hacksaw Ridge's battle scenes are, too)

This was SOOOO unexpected! (And my first serious glimmer of hope that LLL might not take the cake). The editing on those battle scenes was tremendous. Still think Moonlight was better, (and that having the first black female win for editor would've been wonderful), but I'm okay with this one.

Sound editing
Arrival - Did Win
Deep Water Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge - Will Win, Should Win
La La Land
Sully

SOOO surprised! Thrilled Arrival got something. And I had mixed up the category Kevin O'Connell was nominated for, or I would have put Hacksaw as should win below. But I stand by thinking Hacksaw would win editing, since it took the guild prize

Sound mixing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge Did Win
La La Land - Will Win
Rogue One - Should Win
13 Hours

I SCREAMED SO LOUDLY AT THIS YOU HAVE NO IDEA. The Academy recognized that La La Land's sound was terrible! Kevin O'Connell - who is a legend - finally won and had the sweetest speech. Good things happen!!

Production design
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail Caesar! - Should Win (although I haven't seen fantastic beasts/passengers and passengers won for fantasy at the ADGs)
La La Land - Will win, Did Win
Passengers

I stand by this: UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. The fact that the Handmaiden is not nominated here invalidates this category. Also! Normally this category is heavily dominated by the period nominees from the ADG but none (!) were nominated this go round (Jackie (so great), Cafe Society, Fences, Hacksaw Ridge, and Hidden Figures - the winner in that group.)

Original score
Jackie
La La Land - Will win, Did Win
Lion
Moonlight - Should win
Passengers

And this: UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH I HATE the La La Land score. (Jackie's is also amazing, and Lion's is really good.) Here. Go listen to this and this as a palate cleanser.

Original song
Audition, La La Land
Can’t Stop the Feeling!, Trolls
City of Stars, La La Land - Will win Did Win
The Empty Chair, Jim: The James Foley Story
How Far I’ll Go, Moana - Should win

And this: UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Come on. Give it to Lin. Let the man EGOT.

Makeup and hair
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond - Will win, should win
Suicide Squad Did Win

What I said then: Star Trek won the guild for effects (suicide squad won character), but the Man Called Ove team won a couple of years back for the Man that Climbed Out the Window and Wandered Away, or whatever that movie was. But the Jaylah/Sofia Boutella alien was great.

Now: Everything is terrible forever. WHO DOES THIS TO COMMON:

Costume design
Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Did Win
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie - Should win
La La Land - Will Win

What I said then: UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH At least Coleen Atwood won't get it again? The other winners in the guild awards (Hidden Figures and Doctor Strange) weren't even nominated. My favorite - Love & Friendship - was only up for a Critics Choice. I call bullshit. Gold Derby actually has Jackie winning this. Pleasepleasepleasepleaseplease.

Now: I was mistaken in how many oscars Coleen has actually won! It's now only 4. I'm okay with this! I do actually like her work, the costumes from Fantastic Bests looked interesting, Harry Potter now has an oscar, and LLL didn't win.

Visual effects
Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
Jungle Book - Will win (probably should - haven't seen it) Did Win
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

15/24. That's the worst I've done in a long time and I am so, so happy about it!

2016 JWD Awards & Superlatives

Don't mind me. I'm just going to live in my own little world where the Handmaiden and the Love Witch are up for Production Design, Annette Benning is up for Best Actress, Lily Gladstone is up for Best Supporting, and Love & Friendship gets a whole lot more love.

Wow - I never got around to finishing my 2015 superlative post. Le sigh. That's what happens when you're shorthanded at year-end. I'm going to go put that up, so that it can be added to the list:
2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015.

*sigh.*

Onwards and upwards! 2016!

Best Film
Moonlight
The Handmaiden
Jackie
Elle
The Lobster
20th Century Women
A Bigger Splash
Louder than Bombs
Certain Women
Indignation

Best Popcorn Flick
Hunt for the Wilderpeople
Everybody Wants Some!!
10 Cloverfield Lane
Swiss Army Man
Arrival
Hail, Caesar
Assassination Classroom
Moana
Deadpool
Hacksaw Ridge

Notable Omissions here.

Best Actress
Annette Benning - 20th Century Women
Sandra Huller - Toni Erdmann
Isabelle Huppert - Elle
Amy Adams - Arrival
Ruth Negga - Loving
Natalie Portman - Jackie
Kim Min-hee - The Handmaiden
Rachel Weiss - The Lobster
Kate Beckinsale - Love & Friendship
Viola Davis - Fences
Samantha Robinson - The Love Witch

(Notable Omissions: Agyness Deyn - Sunset Song, Sasha Lane - American Honey, Mackenzie Davis - Always Shine, Caitlin Fitzgerald - Always Shine, Sarah Paulson - Blue Jay, Isabelle Huppert - Things to Come, Rebecca Hall - Christine, Jessica Chastain - Miss Sloane, Sonia Braga - Aquarius)

Best Actor
Joel Edgerton - Loving
Logan Lerman - Indignation
Colin Farrell - The Lobster
Trevante Rhodes - Moonlight
Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
Jake Gyllenhaal - Nocturnal Animals
Paul Dano - Swiss Army Man
Andrew Garfield - Hacksaw Ridge

(Notable Omissions: Viggo Mortensen - Captain Fantastic, Adam Driver - Paterson, Michael Keaton - the Founder, Dave John - I Daniel Blake)

Best Supporting Actress
Naomie Harris - Moonlight
Lily Gladstone - Certain Women
Greta Gerwig - 20th Century Women
Tae-ri Kim - The Handmaiden
Tilda Swinton - A Bigger Splash
Margaret Bowman - Hell or High Water (although honestly, the other waitress, Katy Mixon, was just as good)
Olivia Colman - The Lobster
Dakota Johnson - A Bigger Splash
Kate MacKinnon - Ghostbusters

(Notable Omissions: Riley Keogh - American Honey, Molly Shannon - Other People, Hayley Squires - I Daniel Blake)

Best Supporting Actor 
Mahershala Ali - Moonlight
Tracy Letts - Indignation
Ralph Fiennes - A Bigger Splash
Matthias Schoenaerts - A Bigger Splash
Glen Powell - Everybody Wants Some!!
Tom Bennett - Love & Friendship
Lucas Hedges - Manchester by the Sea
Sam Neill - Hunt for the Wilderpeople
Alden Ehrenreich - Hail Caesar
John Goodman - 10 Cloverfield Lane
Alex Hibbert - Moonlight
Andre Holland - Moonlight
Daniel Radcliffe - Swiss Army Man

(Notable Omissions: Ethan Hawke - Maggie's Plan, Shia LaBeouf - American Honey, Christopher Lloyd - I am not a Serial Killer, Hugh Grant - Florence Foster)

Best Ensemble
Moonlight
20th Century Women
Nocturnal Animals
Everybody Wants Some!!
The Handmaiden
Certain Women
The Lobster
A Bigger Splash
Louder than Bombs

(Notable Omissions: Captain Fantastic)

Best Director
Barry Jenkins - Moonlight
Park Chan-wook - The Handmaiden
Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester by the Sea
Daniels - Swiss Army Man
Paul Verhoven - Elle
Anna Rose Holmer - The Fits
Jeff Nichols - Loving
Mike Mills - 20th Century Women
Pablo Larrain - Jackie
Richard Linklater - Everybody Wants Some!!
Anna Biller - The Love Witch

(Notable Omissions: Trey Edward Shults - Krisha, Ken Loach - I Daniel Blake, Andrea Arnold - American Honey, Terence Davies - Sunset Song, Mia Hansen-Love - Things to Come, Kelly Fremon Craig - Edge of Seventeen)

Best Screenplay - Adapted
Arrival
Moonlight
Lion
Love & Friendship
Indignation
Elle

(Notable Omissions: The Girl on the Train, Denial, Snowden)

Best Screenplay - Original
Manchester by the Sea
The Lobster
20th Century Women
Hell or High Water
Everybody Wants Some!!
A Bigger Splash
Louder than Bombs

(Notable Omissions: Paterson, American Honey, Krisha, Hello my Name is Doris, I Daniel Blake)

Best Animated
Zootopia
Moana

Umm.... I was not a fan of the other animated ones I saw.

(Notable Omissions: the Red Turtle, April & the Extraordinary World, Your Name, the Little Prince, My Life as a Zucchini, Miss Hokusai, Phantom Boy, 25 April)

Best Documentary
Weiner
Sonita
NUTS!

(Notable Omissions: OJ Made in America, Fire at Sea, I am Not Your Negro, 13th, Cameraperson, Tower, Tickled, Kate Plays Christine, Amanda Knox, Audrie & Daisy, Before the Flood, Miss Sharon Jones!, Notes on Blindness, Rats. I... did not see enough documentaries this year)

Best Foreign
Elle (France/Germany/Belgium)
The Handmaiden (South Korea)
Louder than Bombs (Norway/France/Denmark/US)
Neon Bull (Brazil/Uruguay/Netherlands)
Hunt for the Wilderpeople (New Zealand)
The Demons (Canada)
Love and Friendship (Ireland/France/Netherlands)
Microbe & Gasoline (France)
Wild (Germany)
The Lobster (Greece/Ireland/Netherlands/UK/France)

(Notable Omissions: Tanna, It's Only the End of the World, My Life as a Zucchini, Chevalier, As I Open My Eyes, Aquarius, Things to Come, Videophilia, Desierto)

Best Editing
Jackie
Moonlight
The Handmaiden
Elle
Green Room
Deadpool
The Lobster
Arrival
Swiss Army Man
Manchester by the Sea

(Notable Omissions: The Jungle Book, OJ Made in America, Cameraperson)

Best Cinematography
The Handmaiden
Jackie
Moonlight
Silence
Nocturnal Animals

(Notable Omissions: American Honey, Eyes of my Mother, Childhood of a Leader, Free in Deed)

Best Costumes
The Handmaiden
Jackie
Hail, Caesar!
Nocturnal Animals
The Love Witch
Love & Friendship

(Notable Omissions: Allied, Fantastic Beasts, Miss Peregrine (although I love that coat so much I debated whether it was a potential Halloween costume), Neon Demon, the Dressmaker)

Best Makeup
Jackie
Nocturnal Animals
Green Room
Swiss Army Man
Doctor Strange
Lemonade
Star Trek Beyond

(Notable Omissions: Neon Demon, Fantastic Beasts)

Best Production Design
The Handmaiden
The Love Witch
Jackie
Love & Friendship
The VVitch
Green Room
Hail Caesar
Arrival
Hell or High Water

(Notable Omissions: Neon Demon, Live by Night, Fantastic Beasts)

Best Visual Effects
Doctor Strange
Arrival
Rogue One
Kubo and the Two Strings
Swiss Army Man

(Notable Omissions: Batman v. Superman, the Shallows, Miss Peregrine's, Fantastic Beasts, the Jungle Book)

Best Score
Jackie
Moonlight
The Handmaiden
Hunt for the Wilderpeople
Everybody Wants Some!!
Arrival
High Rise
Elle
Lion
Swiss Army Man
20th Century Women

Honorable Mention: Stranger Things, Westworld


(Notable Omissions: Neon Demon, Edge of Seventeen, Christine, Midnight Special, The Land, American Honey, Childhood of a Leader)

Best Song/Musical Moment
No Dames! - Hail Caesar
Ralph Fiennes Emotional Rescue - A Bigger Splash
Greatest Love of All - Toni Erdmann
Drive it Like You Stole It - Sing Street
Shiny - Moana
How Far I'll Go - Moana
Lemonade
Chris Hemsworth - Ghostbusters
Practice on the Overpass - The Fits
Rappers Delight - Everybody Wants Some!!
Hello Stranger - Moonlight

(Notable Omissions: American Honey, Divines)

Best Animated Short
Deer Flower
Manoman (full video! 10m)
Borrowed Time
Pear Cider and Cigarettes (I KNEW the animator was the same guy who did Metallica's Lemmy video! Here; check out the video for Murder One. It's a great one: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Mkq6GFLIsk. (I thought it might have also been the same person who did Queens of the Stone Age's videos, including If I had a Tail, but that was the artist Boneface and directed by Liam Brazier.))
Piper
Mr. Madila (2015 new to me; full video! 8m)

Best Live Action Short
Thunder Road (full video! 13m)
Project X (full video! 10m)
Dear Mr Shakespeare (full video! 5m)
Liam and Lenka (2014 - new to me; full video! 18m)
Peace in the Valley (full video! 15m)
The Anthem (2006 - new to me; full video! 5m)
Worldly Desires (2005 - new to me; full video! 40m (I recommend watching the first 5 min at least)
Vapour (2015 - new to me. Can you tell I watched a whole program of Apichatpong Weerasethakul shorts?)
Track
In Attla's Tracks

Best Sound
Arrival
Jackie
Green Room
Hacksaw Ridge
Rogue One
Moana
Deadpool

(Notable Omissions: Don't Breathe, Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk, Neon Demon)

Best Debut Film
The Fits
Swiss Army Man
Lion
Kubo and the Two Strings
Deadpool
10 Cloverfield Lane

(Notable Omissions: Edge of Seventeen, Southside with You,  Kicks, Krisha, Legend of Barney Thompson)

Film I didn't get to that I am most looking forward to:
Sunset Song
American Honey
Always Shine
Tanna
Cameraperson
Tickled
London Road
Disorder
Edge of Seventeen
April and the Extraordinary World

Best Quote
"I didn't choose the skuxx life, the skuxx life chose me." - Hunt for the Wilderpeople
"What don't you want?" - Hell or High Water
"We came for a good time, not for a long time" - Everybody Wants Some!!
"Americans really have shown themselves to be a nation of ingrates, only by having children can we begin to understand such dynamic." - Love & Friendship
"I had a feeling that the great word 'respectable' would some day divide us." - Love & Friendship
"That's right! You're about to be killed by a zamboni! ... Tell me where your fucking boss is or you're going to die! In five minutes!" - Deadpool
"Douche: Okay, so...
Queso: Did someone say 'Queso'?
Douche: That's a fucking stretch and you know it, Queso!" - Sausage Party
"Lobsters live for over one hundred years, are blue-blooded like aristocrats, and stay fertile all their lives. I also like the sea very much." - The Lobster
"There were a lot of explosions for two people blending in." - Rogue One

Best Trailer
The Handmaiden
10 Cloverfield Lane
Jackie
Moonlight
A Bigger Splash
20th Century Women
American Honey
Rogue One teaser
Loving
Elle
Neon Demon

Best Poster
Moonlight
The Lobster
American Honey
American Pastoral
Deadpool
The Fits
The Demons
The Love Witch
Loving
Certain Women
The Handmaiden
Free Fire
Jackie
Always Shine
High Rise
Tickled
Nocturnal Animals
Suicide Squad
The Ornithologist
Little Sister
Notes on Blindness
Rams
Indignation
Portrait of a Garden
Kubo and the Two Strings
10 Cloverfield Lane

Unforgettable Moment Award [SPOILERS]
The argument - Indignation
The party - Toni Erdmann
Would that it were so simple - Hail Caesar!
The Police Station - Manchester by the Sea
Little's questions for Juan - Moonlight
The horse-ride - Certain Women
The Peas - Love & Friendship
The final scene - The Lobster
Rocks Fall, Everyone Dies - Rogue One
The Flashback truth - Arrival
Run off the road - Nocturnal Animals
The Calendar - Deadpool
Meeting Father Ferreira - Silence
Abott & Costello interlude - Doctor Strange
Splitting the baseball - Everybody Wants Some!!

Other Superlatives:
Best Trailer for a 2017 film: Dunkirk, Logan, Get Out, T2 (Trainspotting), A Cure for Wellness, Free Fire (since it did NOT come out this year.)
2017 Film I am Most Looking Forward To: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Cat: Elle
Best Seals: Finding Dory
Best Flamingo: The Lobster
Best Female Action Star: Mary Elizabeth Winstead - 10 Cloverfield Lane (Runners Up: Felicity Jones - Rogue One, Brianna Hildebrand - Deadpool)
Best Action Scene:  The airport fight - Captain America Civil War (Runners Up: Counting Bullets - Deadpool, the fight on Scarif - Rogue One)
Movie You Wanted to Love But Just Couldn't: 
Best Hair: Greta Gerwig - 20th Century Women
Funniest Hair: George Clooney - Hail, Caesar
Most Wasted Potential of an Idea: The VVitch
Most ridiculous, entertaining music cue: Jurassic Park - Swiss Army Man
Best Cameo: Sigourney Weaver - Finding Dory
Best New to Me: Days of Heaven (Runners Up: The Last Waltz, Faust, Barry Lyndon, Full Metal Jacket, The Ladykillers)
Best Breakthrough: Royalty Hightower - The Fits
Best Ending (the McKayla Maroney award): The Lobster
Best Opening: 20th Century Women
Most shocking opening: Elle (Runner up: Nocturnal Animals)
Best Credits: Deadpool
Worst Song: The Audition - La La Land
Best Sciencing: Arrival
Most Overrated: La La Land

Best TV Show: STILL HANNIBAL.

2017 Oscars

As always, going for 22/24 or better. But I'm happy if a "should win" triumphs over a "will win". (And honestly? I'd be happy to get 0/24 so long as La La Land doesn't get cinematography.)

If Oscar voters end up blanket awarding La La Land for every nominated category, I'm.... going to be even more deeply upset.

Best picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land - Will Win
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight - Should win

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Lead actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land,
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences - Will Win

I'm giving this to Denzel by a hair, because actors make up the biggest bloc of oscar voters. But Casey Affleck has won more primary awards. I'm not sure who should win out of this group - they largely wouldn't be my picks - Denzel was good, but not great; Casey was brilliant, but a horrible human being, so I find myself going for Andrew (I see this almost as a co-nomination for Silence. Cough: https://letterboxd.com/harryrossi/list/2016-films-with-andrew-garfield-as-an-explicitly/)

Lead actress
Isabelle Huppert, Elle - Should Win
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land - Will Win
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Supporting actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - Will Win, Should Win
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Supporting actress
Viola Davis, Fences - Will Win
Naomie Harris, Moonlight - Should Win
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Best director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land - Will Win
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight - Should Win
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Animated feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia - Will Win

Haven't seen My Life as a Zucchini or the Red Turtle, so hard to say what should win. I personally prefer Moana to Zootopia, but I can see why Zootopia will win.

Animated short
Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
Pear Cider and Cigarettes
Pearl
Piper - Will win, should win

Adapted screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight - Will win, should win

Original screenplay
20th Century Women
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster - Should win
Manchester by the Sea - Will win

The Lobster and 20th Century Women should be up for best picture.

Cinematography
Arrival
La La Land
Lion - Will win
Moonlight - Should win
Silence

I'm going with the guild on this one. The popular opinion is that La La Land will take it, but I JUST CAN'T. I HATE La La Land's cinematography. And the experts thought Roger Deakins would win a few years back and then he didn't. Moonlight won a number of precursors, so there's some hope there. If La La Land wins this one, I will fucking break things.

Should win is tricky. I'm giving it to Moonlight by a hair. I do really like Silence's too. (I'm a sucker for foggy landscapes). Lion's was interesting, but I'm mostly hoping it'll beat LA. (Beat LA!)

Best documentary feature
13th
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America - Will win

Best documentary short subject
4.1 Miles
Extremist
Joe’s Violin - Will win
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets

Extremis is more nominated, but apparently Joe's Violin more crowd-pleasing/oscar baity. That said, an anti-Trump vote for White Helmets could carry the day. But that may be confined to the foreign category below.

Best live-action short film
Ennemis Interieurs - Will win
La Femme et le TGV
Silent Nights
Sing
Timecode

Timecode as spoiler for winning a palme.

Best foreign language film
A Man Called Ove
Land of Mine
Tanna
The Salesman - Will Win
Toni Erdmann

ELLE SHOULD WIN. Harumph. (Not to mention Korea not even SUBMITTING The Handmaiden.) The Salesman has built a second phase anti-trump narrative, so I think it has edged Toni Erdmann, which had been in the lead.

I still really want to see Tanna. I keep missing it.

Film editing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land - Will win
Moonlight - Should Win (although Arrival's editing is great, and Hacksaw Ridge's battle scenes are, too)

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Sound editing
Arrival
Deep Water Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge - Will Win, Should Win
La La Land
Sully

Sound mixing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land - Will Win
Rogue One - Should Win
13 Hours

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Production design
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail Caesar! - Should Win (although I haven't seen fantastic beasts/passengers and passengers won for fantasy at the ADGs)
La La Land - Will win
Passengers

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

The fact that the Handmaiden is not nominated here invalidates this category. Also! Normally this category is heavily dominated by the period nominees from the ADG but none (!) were nominated this go round (Jackie (so great), Cafe Society, Fences, Hacksaw Ridge, and Hidden Figures - the winner in that group.)

Original score
Jackie
La La Land - Will win
Lion
Moonlight - Should win
Passengers

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

I HATE the La La Land score. (Jackie's is also amazing, and Lion's is really good.) Here. Go listen to this and this as a palate cleanser.

Original song
Audition, La La Land
Can’t Stop the Feeling!, Trolls
City of Stars, La La Land - Will win
The Empty Chair, Jim: The James Foley Story
How Far I’ll Go, Moana - Should win

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Come on. Give it to Lin. Let the man EGOT.

Makeup and hair
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond - Will win, should win
Suicide Squad

Star Trek won the guild for effects (suicide squad won character), but the Man Called Ove team won a couple of years back for the Man that Climbed Out the Window and Wandered Away, or whatever that movie was. But the Jaylah/Sofia Boutella alien was great.

Costume design
Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie - Should win
La La Land - Will Win

UGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

At least Coleen Atwood won't get it again? The other winners in the guild awards (Hidden Figures and Doctor Strange) weren't even nominated. My favorite - Love & Friendship - was only up for a Critics Choice. I call bullshit.

Gold Derby actually has Jackie winning this. Pleasepleasepleasepleaseplease.

Visual effects
Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
Jungle Book - Will win (probably should - haven't seen it)
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

I do love the effects in Rogue One, but I'd give it to Doctor Strange for taking the technique in really new and exciting directions.

2016 Mixes

Done!

[Past mixes: 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015]

Disc 1

1. Shearwater - Quiet Americans. This was one of the first songs I head at the start of last January and is now one of my all time favorite songs. It's so, so perfect. (There is an official video, but it is new to me, so I'd recommend just listening first and getting swept up in it.)

2. Panic! At the Disco - LA Devotee. Hi Stranger Things child!

3. Rihanna - Desperado 

4. Beyonce - Daddy Lessons (not shareable because Jay-Z makes bad business decisions. While I haven't really liked much of anything Beyonce has done since Destiny's Child, I really like Lemonade.)

5. Brandy Clark - Girl Next Door

6. Black Honey - Spinning Wheel (hey! Music video. Who knew. How very Lana. I also quite like their songs Madonna and Teenager.)

7. Diana Gordon - Woman

8. Mitski - Your Best American Girl (Does pointing out her inclusion on 2015 give me hipster brownie points?)

9. The Kills - Doing It To Death. I love this video like I have trouble expressing:

10. Garbage - So We Can Stay Alive. The new album is so good. I think it might be my favorite since Version 2.0. 

11. Savages - The Answer

12. Metallica - Hardwired

13. Green Day - Bang Bang

14. AFI - Aurelia (Awww - look at those three bay area bands in a row.)

15. The Unfortunates - Quarantine. Thank god the next musical I saw after Hamilton was The Unfortunates. It was stupendous, and has become one of my favorites. I listened to this 'album inspired by' all year, and although some of the songs are a bit different than the reworked show at A.C.T., it is still fantastic and highly recommended. (Not on youtube, but here's an Amazon link and an iTunes link.)

16. Hamilton Mixtape - Immigrants (We Get the Job Done) Speaking of Hamilton...

Disc 2

2015 superlatives & JWD awards

Edit: So - in starting to create my 2016 post, I've only just realized that I never finished and posted this. So, although incomplete, I'm going ahead and hitting publish so that it will be up.

2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 - Hey! First time getting this out POST-OSCARS. One day I'll have a manageable winter. *sigh.*

Best Film
Carol
The World of Tomorrow
Diary of A Teenage Girl
Room
Brooklyn
Mad Max
The Royal Road
The Duchess of Malfi
Tangerine
Results
Amy
Crimson Peak
Far from the Madding Crowd

Best Film not Starring a Woman
Spotlight
The Look of Silence
What We Do in the Shadows
Me And Earl and the Dying Girl
The Hateful Eight
Son of Saul
The Martian
Kingsman
The Man from U.N.C.L.E.
Charlie's Country
Jimmy's Hall
The Dark Horse

Notable Omissions here.

Best Actress
Bel Powley - Diary of a Teenage Girl
Saorsie Ronan - Brooklyn
Brie Larson - Room
Rooney Mara - Carol
Charlize Theron - Mad Max
Cobie Smulders - Results

(I saw it last year, but Rinko Kikuchi was brilliant in Kumiko the Treasure Hunter. Notable Omissions: Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years, Alicia Vikander - the Danish Girl, Arielle Holmes - Heaven Knows What, Jennifer Jason Leigh - Anomalisa, Julianne Moore - Maps to the Stars, Juliette Binoche - Clouds of Sils Maria, Karidja Toure - Girlhood, Laia Costa - Victoria, Nina Hoss - Phoenix, Shu Qi - The Assassin, Sidse Babett Knudsen - Duke of Burgundy, Teyonah Parris - Chi-raq, Carey Mulligan - Suffragette, Golshifteh Farahani - About Elly, Brit Marling - the Keeping Room,)

Best Actor
David Gulpilil - Charlie's Country
Emory Cohen - Brooklyn
Geza Rohrig - Son of Saul
Jacob Tremblay - Room
Thomas Mann-  Me and Earl and the Dying Girl

(Notable Omissions: Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs, Abraham Attah - Beasts of No Nation, Andrew Garfield - 99 Homes, Ben Mendelsohn - Mississippi Grind, Felix de Givry - Eden, Jason Mitchell - Straight Outta Compton, Jason Segel - End of the Tour, Johnny Depp - Black Mass, Koudous Seihon - Mediterranea, Michael B. Jordan - Creed, Ronald Zehrfeld - Phoenix, Shameik Moore - Dope, Tom Hardy - Legend, Viggo Mortensen - Jauja, Jack O'Connell - '71, Xavier Dolan - Tom at the Farm)

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett - Carol
Alicia Vikander - Ex Machina
Mya Taylor - Tangerine
Olivia Cooke - Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight
Jessica Chastain - Crimson Peak
Joan Allen - Room
Julie Walters - Brooklyn
Elizabeth Banks - Love & Mercy

(Notable Omissions: Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs, Angela Bassett - Chi-raq, Chiara D'Anna - Duke of Burgundy, Cynthia Nixon - James White, Franziska Weisz - Stations of the Cross, Katherine Waterson - Queen of Earth, Kristen Stewart - Clouds of Sils Maria, Lise Roy - Tom at the Farm, Marin Ireland - Glass Chin, Mia Wasikowska - Maps to the Stars, Nina Kunzendorf - Phoenix, Rachel Weisz - Youth, Robin Bartlett - H., Tessa Thompson - Creed)

Best Supporting Actor 
Walton Goggins - The Hateful Eight
Matthias Schoenaerts - Far from the Madding Crowd
Michael Keaton - Spotlight
Oscar Isaac - Ex Machina
Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
Tom Hardy - Mad Max
Stanley Tucci - Spotlight
Nicholas Hoult - Mad Max
Michael Sheen - Far from the Madding Crowd
Alexander Skarsgaard - Diary of a Teenage Girl
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Christian Bale - The Big Short
RJ Cyler - Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
Michael Cyril Creighton - Spotlight

(Notablie Omissions: Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation, Jesse Eisenberg - End of the Tour, Michael Shannon - 99 Homes, O'Shea Jackson - Straight Outta Compton, Ryan Reynolds - Mississippi Grind, Tom Courtenay - 45 Years, Pierre-Yves Cardinal - Tom at the Farm, Caleb Landry Jones - Heaven Knows What, Billy Crudup - Glass Chin, Sylvester Stallone - Creed)

Best Ensemble
Carol
Tangerine
Brooklyn
Diary of a Teenage Girl
Love & Mercy
The Hateful Eight
Spotlight

(Notable Omissions: Eden, Girlhood, Mississippi Grind, A Pigeon Sat on a Branch Reflecting on Existence, Straight Outta Compton, Beasts of No Nation)

Best Director
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max
Lenny Abrahamson - Room
Laszlo Nemes - Son of Saul
Marielle Heller - Diary of a Teenage Girl
Todd Haynes - Carol

(Notable Omissions: Cary Joji Fukunaga, Charlie Kaufman & Duke Johnson - Anomalisa, Christan Petzold - Phoenix, Hou Hsiao-hsien - The Assassin, Sarah Gavron - Suffragette, Celine Sciamma - Girlhood)

Best Screenplay - Adapted
The Martian
Brooklyn
Carol
Room
Diary of a Teenage Girl

(Notable Omissions: Steve Jobs, Creed, Beasts of No Nation)

Best Screenplay - Original
Spotlight
What We Do in the Shadows
Ex Machina
The Hateful Eight
Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
Tangerine

(Notable Omissions: Straight Outta Compton, Phoenix, Duke of Burgundy, Clouds of Sils Maria, Anomalisa)

Best Animated
Inside Out
Shan the Sheep Movie
The Good Dinosaur

(Notable Omissions: Anomalisa, When Marnie Was There, Boy and the World, The Prophet, the Peanuts Movie)

Best Documentary
Amy
Look of Silence
What Happened, Miss Simone?
Racing Extinction

(Notable Omissions: Cartel Land, Winter on Fire, Heart of a Dog, the Hunting Ground, Listen to Me Marlon, Meru, We Come As Friends, Going Clear, Ballet 422, Dreamcatcher, Finders Keepers, Hitchcock/Truffaut, In Jackson Heights, Song from the Forest, Stray Dog, Beats of the Antonov, The Wolfpack, Democrats, Western, T-Rex)

Best Foreign
Son of Saul
The Tribe
Jimmy's Hall
Charlie's Country
The Dark Horse

...I don't even know. Can we toss Mad Max, Room, and What We do in the Shadows on here?

(Notable Omissions: Mustang, A War, Embrace of the Serpent (not out yet), Theeb, Viva, Goodnight Mommy, Lamb, Arabian Nights, A Pigeon Sat on a Branch Reflecting on Existence, The Assassin, Girlhood, Phoenix, Mediterranea, Timbuktu, Rams, Felix and Meira, Marshland, 10000 Km, White God, Black Coal Thin Ice, the Brand New Testament, the New Girlfriend, the Postman's White Nights, Vincent, Winter Sleep, Sworn Virgin, Stations of the Cross)

Best Editing
Mad Max
Spotlight
Amy
Carol
Room
Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
Tangerine
The Martian
Son of Saul
What We Do in the Shadows
Diary of a Teenage Girl

(Notable Omissions: White God, Phoenix, Heaven Knows What, Beasts of No Nation, Duke of Burgundy, Eden, Arabian Nights, Anomalisa)

Best Cinematography
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max
Sicario
The Revenant
Ex Machina
Far From the Madding Crowd
It Follows
Son of Saul
Tangerine

(Notable Omissions: The Assassin, Beasts of No Nation, Clouds of Sils Maria, Duke of Burgundy, Goodnight Mommy, Heaven Knows What, Jauja, Meadowland, Phoenix, A Pigeon Sat on a Branch, Slow West, Songs my Brothers Taught Me (not out yet?), Western)

Best Costumes
Kingsman
Carol
Cinderella
Mad Max
Brooklyn
Crimson Peak
Duchess of Malfi
The Hateful Eight
The Man from U.N.C.L.E.
Far from the Madding Crowd
MI5

(Notable Omissions: Danish Girl, Beasts of No Nation)

Best Makeup
Mad Max
The Revenant
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Brooklyn

(Notable Omissions: Black Mass, the Danish Girl)

Best Production Design
Mad Max
The Martian
Carol
Brooklyn
Ex Machina
Crimson Peak

(Notable Omissions: Danish Girl)

Best Visual Effects
Ex Machina
Mad Max
The Martian
Star Wars
The Good Dinosaur

(Notable Omissions: The Walk)

Best Score
Far From the Madding Crowd
Carol
The Hateful Eight

Mad Max
Spotlight

Best Song/Musical Moment
Siuil a Run - Jimmy's Hall
Earned It - 50 Shades
Manta Ray - Racing Extinction
Til It Happens to You - Hunting Ground
Jim Jones at Botany Bay - The Hateful Eight
Silent Night - The Hateful Eight
Back to Black - Amy
Wouldn't It Be Nice - Love & Mercy

The Big Ship - Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
Disintegration - Ant Man

(Notable Omissions: It's My Turn Now - Dope, Girls Just Wanna Have Fun - Anomalisa, Liszt - Victoria, Pray 4 My City and Oh Girl - Chi-raq, No Vaseline - Straight Outta Compton)

Best Animated Short
World of Tomorrow
We Can't Live Without Cosmos
Discussion Questions
Bang Bang!
Horse Raised by Spheres
Faded Finery
One Night in Hell
A Pattern for Survival
Caveirão
Street of Crocodiles (new to me)

Best Live Action Short
Cailleach
Territory (also winner of best unexpected werewolves)
Arrowed
NO ID
Stutterer

Film I didn't get to that I am most looking forward to:
Mustang
Girlhood
Phoenix
Clouds of Sils Maria
Anomalisa
Duke of Burgundy
Pigeon Sat on A Branch


Best Quote
What We Do In the Shadows:
"Sometimes you make the honest mistake of making a mask out of crackers and a duck eats your face"

Deacon: “I think we drink virgin blood because it sounds cool.”
Vladislav: “I think of it like this: if you were going to eat a sandwich, you would just enjoy it more if you knew no one had fucked it.”

Anton: “Hey, don’t swear! What are we?”
Werewolves: “We’re werewolves, not swear-wolves.”

Viago: “Yeah, some of our clothes are from our victims. You might bite someone and then think, ‘Oooh, these are nice pants’.”

Vladislav: "Leave me to do my dark bidding on the internet!"
Viago: "What are you bidding on?"
Vladislav: "I am bidding on a table."

The Martian:
“I don’t want to come off as arrogant here, but I’m the greatest botanist on this planet.”

“In the face of overwhelming odds, I’m left with only one option: I’m gonna have to science the shit out of this.”

“They say once you grow crops somewhere, you have officially colonized it. So, technically, I colonized Mars. In your face, Neil Armstrong!”

"I've been thinking about laws on Mars. There's an international treaty saying that no country can lay claim to anything that's not on Earth. By another treaty if you're not in any country's territory, maritime law aplies. So Mars is international waters. Now, NASA is an American non-military organization, it owns the Hab. But the second I walk outside I'm in international waters. So Here's the cool part. I'm about to leave for the Schiaparelli Crater where I'm going to commandeer the Ares IV lander. Nobody explicitly gave me permission to do this, and they can't until I'm on board the Ares IV. So I'm going to be taking a craft over in international waters without permission, which by definition... makes me a pirate. Mark Watney: Space Pirate."

Best Trailer


Best Poster
Neon Bull
Love & Mercy
Crimson Peak

It Follows

Unforgettable Moment Award [SPOILERS]
Furiosa taking the shot - Mad Max
The Church Scene - Kingsman


Other Superlatives:
Best Bats: What We Do in the Shadows
Best Squirrels: Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
Best Butterflies/Moths: Duke of Burgundy (I assume.)
Best Dogs: White God (again, I assume.)
Best Crab: Luna
Best Guitar: Mad Max
Best Dance: Ex Machina and Magic Mike XXL (notable omissions: Girlhood and Catch Me Daddy)
Prettiest landscape: Arnhem Land - Charlie's Country (Runner Up: Chile - The Revenant)
Best Restoration: Well - Rififi was probably the *best*, but the most interesting was the director's cut of 54, in which massive changes to characterization occurred.
Best Female Action Star: Charlize Theron - Mad Max
Best Trailer for a 2016 Film: Deadpool (Runner Up: Captain America Civil War)
Best Action Scene: Mad Max. (Runners Up: Harry vs. the Church - Kingsman, the Opera scene - MI5)
Movie You Wanted to Love But Just Couldn't: In the Heart of the Sea (Runner up: Spectre, Age of Ultron)
Most Wasted Potential of an Idea: It Follows
Most ridiculous, entertaining music cue: Pomp & Circumstance - Kingsman (Runner Up: Muse's Uprising - Pitch Perfect 2)
Best Chase: Mad Max.
Best Cameo: Channing Tatum - The Hateful Eight (I was surprised! I wasn't spoiled!) (Runner Up: LeBron James - Trainwreck)
Best Breakthrough: Bel Powley
Best Ending (the McKayla Maroney award): Tangerine
Best Opening: Kingsman (Runners-up: It Follows, Sicario)
Worst Song: Writing's on the Wall - Spectre
Worst Hair: The Big Short
Best Sciencing: The Martian
Most in Need of Some Muthafucking Tree Stars: The Good Dinosaur
Creepiest Scene: The Tall Man - It Follows
Best Train: Ant-Man
Best Sidekick: Stu - What We Do in the Shadows
Still Most in Need of Diction Lessons: Tom Hardy - The Revenant
Most Overrated: It Follows
Best TV Show: STILL HANNIBAL.

Emmys

The Good
The Americans for Best Drama!!!!!!!!

Mr. Robot for Best Drama!!!!!!!!

Keri Russell for Best Drama Actress!!!!!!!
Matthew Rhys for Best Drama Actor!!!!!!!!
Rami Malek for Best Actor!!!!
Tommy Kail for Best Direction for a Variety Special!!!! (Grease Live got a total of 10 emmy noms - the most for any live musical ever)

Idris Elba for Best Mini Actor
Hiddles for Best Mini Actor
Margo Martindale for Best Guest Drama Actress
The Americans for Best Writing (for the season finale)
Lemonade is up for 4 Emmys (incl. Best Variety Special)

Settle for Me is up for Original Music (and the title is up for best theme song)

3 choreography nods for Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Carrie Preston & Michael J Fox for Guest Actors
Costume and Production design nods for Outlander
Constance Zimmer for supporting drama actress!!!

UnReal for best writing
Jesse Plemons, Bokeem Woodbine, Jean Smart, and Kirsten Dunst for Fargo

Sarah Paulson and Kathy Bates for AHS: Hotel

Sarah Paulson for OJ Simpson [Per MZS; "I’d also like Paulson to take supporting actress in the same category for playing Hypodermic Sally in American Horror Story: Hotel; the contrast between that punk-rock wackadoo performance and her subtler, more realistically shaded work in The People v. O.J. Simpson makes you appreciate both performances more."]
Olivia Colman for the Night Manager (and Hiddles and Hugh Laurie. I've only seen the first ep. so far, but Olivia Colman is the best.)
Kate McKinnon for SNL
RuPaul got his first emmy nod!
Keegan-Micahel Key for Key & Peele!
Tatiana Maslany for Orphan Black
Bradley Whitford for Transparent (haven't seen it, but I love him)
The Veep nods
Audra McDonald for Lady Day
The Night Manager is up for Title Design
“A New Season aka Suck It Cancellation Bear” is up for best song from Galavant

What Happened, Miss Simone? is up!
Honest Trailers are nominated. For Outstanding Short Form Variety Series.

The Bad
No UnReal for Best Drama

No Penny Dreadful for Best Drama

Nothing for Daredevil (not even Jon Bernthal!)

I'm glad UnReal got a type of short form nomination, but I wish it had been for the Faith Diaries.
No Alan Cumming for the Good Wife

No Stephen Colbert
No Peter Capaldi for Doctor Who (it's never been eligible until this season when an American cable company came aboard as a co-producer. It hasn't been submitted for best drama, but Capaldi was finally on the ballot!)
I haven't seen it, but S2 of the Leftovers really seems like it should have been up for best Drama. I heard great things about Christopher Eccleston and Carrie Coon in particular.
Ditto Show Me a Hero for limited.
No Christian Slater for Mr. Robot
No Jordan Peele for Key & Peele
No other love for Outlander (even GRRM is offended by that!)
No love for Happy Valley (to be fair, I'm not *positive* it was eligible)
No Shiri Appleby for Best drama actress
No Patrick Wilson for Fargo
No Ben Whishaw for London Spy.
No Denis O'Hare for AHS: Hotel
No Annet Mahendry, Dylan Baker, Frank Langella, Holly Taylor, or Alison Wright for The Americans
No Christine Baranski for the Good Wife
No Aldis Hodge for Underground (haven't seen it, but I like him)
No Pete Gardner for Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
No Rachael Taylor for Jessica Jones
No What'll It Be for Best Song

No Joshua Jackson or Fred Armisen for Best Guest Actor in a Comedy for Unbreakable Kimmy
No Miranda Otto for Homeland (I haven't seen it, but I heard she was awesome)
No Aya Cash (a perennial favorite for me, as I grew up with her, and I heard she was brilliant in S2 of You're the Worst)
It was a long shot, but no Aaron Tveit for Grease Live!
No Timothy Olyphant for Guest Actor on a Comedy for the Grinder
No Emmy Rossum or Jeremy Allen White for Shameless
No Cristin Miloti for Fargo
No Tom Hollander for Night Manager
Nothing for The Knick [to quote indiewire; "Neither can compete with the more accessible narrative fireworks of “Game of Thrones” or “House of Cards,” but to expect them to do so is to misunderstand them. Where the contenders for Outstanding Drama Series seem written in prose, “Hannibal” and “The Knick” are pure poetry."]
No Tina Fey for Unbreakable Kimmy (I thought she was the worst part of S1 and the best part of S2).
I knew it wouldn't happen, but I would have liked some acknowledgement for Person of Interest at some point. It was really well done.
I need to catch up on a lot of things.

The Ugly
No Hannibal for Best Drama

No Mads Mikkelsen for Best Actor

No Richard Armitage for Best Guest Actor
No Siouxsie Sioux for song
No Crazy Ex-Girlfriend for Best Comedy
No Rachel Bloom for Best Comedy Actress

No Donna Lynn Champlin for Best Supporting Comedy Actress
No Samantha Bee (although thankfully she got a writing nod)
No David Tennant for Jessica Jones

No Krysten Ritter for Jessica Jones

No Eva Green for Penny Dreadful

Other Tidbits (mostly a h/t here, and here.) 
There are actors of color in every leading actor category. 18% of nominees are PoC, up from the last two years. (And that is leaving off Fresh Off the Boat, OitNB, Jane the Virgin, Being Mary Jane, etc. that were all skunked in acting.) Rami Malek is the first non-white dramatic lead nominee since 2001. The last person of color to win an Emmy for Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series was in 1979. There are three nominations in the category this year -- the most ever!: Andre Braugher for Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Tituss Burgess for Unbreakable Kimmy, and Keegan-Michael Key for Key & Peele. Half the nominees for Outstanding Actor in a Limited Series or Movie are actors of color. This is the first time two nonwhite comedies have been nominated concurrently since 1970 (Black-ish and Master of None).
Both Seth MacFarlane and Tatiana Maslany scored nominations for playing seven different roles on their TV shows.
Camera operator Hector Ramirez has held the title for most Emmy nominations for an individual for several years; last year, he hit 74, which was a new record. This year, HBO documentary dynamo Sheila Nevins has also hit 74 noms, and the two are now tied. (Nevins already has the most wins, with 31 Emmys, of any individual ever.)
Every nominee in Outstanding Single-Camera Picture Editing for a Limited Series or Movie category is from FX.

This dream ballot suggestion made me snicker:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Gary Cole, “Veep”
Kevin Dunn, “Veep”
Hugh Laurie, “Veep”
Sam Richardson, “Veep”
Reid Scott, “Veep”
Timothy Simons, “Veep”
Matt Walsh, “Veep”
In Case of a Tie: Tony Hale, “Veep”

Best tweet:

Dear @MsSarahPaulson: when I lose the Emmy to @TigNotaro could you take a dismissive drag on a cigarette & roll your eyes at me?

— Patton Oswalt (@pattonoswalt) July 14, 2016