For whatever reason, blogger isn't letting me update the previous post, but it occurred to me that another way to look at top albums across all statistics would be to rank all 65 albums by their placement in each list and then sum that, rather than my previous methodology of assigning a top 20 a 3, 20-30 a 2, and 30-40 a 1, and using those. So, with this new calculation, my top 20 could be:
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
One teeny tiny update to top albums
Monday, July 27, 2026
Fun with Data & Music - Top 20 Albums
Back in about 2014, I put together a list of possibilities for my top 20 albums of all time; back to front, no skips, all bangers. The methodology was entirely vibes-based, I threw in a couple compilation albums, and I've only very rarely remembered to add albums to it in the dozen years since. I don't think I ever posted it here - I think just my top 100 listened-to songs. Likely because I never narrowed it to 20 -- I think the original list was at least 40 before I added a couple in the intervening years (while I'm not positive which ones, I'm pretty sure Disappearance of the Girl (66/avg play count) and ...Like Clockwork (57) were two).
So as I was trying to decide which albums might be worth adding from the intervening years, I decided to do it a bit more scientifically. Theoretically, a top album should have a high number of listens to every track, leading to a high average track count. So I tallied up the averages of those already on my list, further separating them Albums added pre-2005/2006 and post-. This is because I don't have play counts before itunes (2005) and for the first year or two, any listens on an ipod didn't sync to the itunes count. Obviously some favorite albums from middle/high school must have much higher total play counts than I have a record of.
Of my pre-05/06 on the list, the average is 66, and my post- is 80. Not super surprising, although there are a couple pre- that I clearly don't listen to very much anymore. For example - Extraordinary Machine (21) (although I did listen to it a couple of days ago when Tidal turned 30 and I remembered I hadn't listened to it in a while. (Actually, I didn't even bother checking Tidal, because I feel like I only ever listen to half, and it's at 44. To be discussed lower*)
 |
| Sorry, Madge. I'm looking forward to the new album. |
The two compilation albums on there are both quite low (Immaculate - 2 (!) and 1 - 13) The other lowest ranked in the pre- category are Evita (27; my guess is I no longer listen straight through like I used to, but mostly hit my faves), Is This It? (18), Play (14), and Ray of Light (14). I'm loathe to drop any of these though, as they are all really good albums pretty much front to back, I just haven't listened to them as much in the last 20 years.
 |
| Quelle surprise |
My highest rated pre-05/06 are:
Elastica - 103
Elastica - 103
Sing the Sorrow - 112
Bleed Like Me - 123
American Idiot - 129
American Idiot - 129
Garbage - 215
And, surprising absolutely no one, Version 2.0 - 227.
Ah yes, three Garbage albums in my top 5 here.
Some other interesting tidbits from this group:
- Choirgirl is getting awfully close to 100 listens/song average (99), and while I would have guessed To Venus and Back would be my most listened to, I think the fact that it's a double album means I have more songs in the 20-30 range. Dookie is also close at 97. (As for other Tori, Little Earthquakes is at 42 and in the old list. I checked all her other albums and Boys for Pele is 25, Scarlet's Walk is 19, Strange Little Girls is 34, but very skewed by the title track (16 otherwise*), Tales of a Librarian (not a true album) is 32, and Under the Pink at 25. My highest b-side album is the BofA Pavilion show in Boston I was at with 12 listens.)
- Sixteen Stone is higher than I would have guessed (75).
- My first ever tape (along with Garbage) was Jagged Little Pill, which sits at 52, and my first CD, No Need to Argue is at 79.
- The musicals, just the three from this group, average 30.
- I included one soundtrack - Go - which is at 57.
- I would have thought Haunted would be higher (58), but I think the interludes drag it down. If you take those four out, it would be at 73.
For the post-05/06 group already in the list, the lowest are:
H.A.A.R.P. - 41
Bullet in a Bible - 42
Hamilton - 43 (Again - double album, with some interludes/skips like Stay Alive (reprise), Meet Me Inside, & Blow Us All Away.)
Them Crooked Vultures - 50
So two live albums and a musical (with a lot of interludes). Bullet doesn't really surprise me because I listen to Awesome as Fuck more (66). As for Muse, Absolution is at 85 and Black Holes & Revelations is at 75. (That surprises me a bit! I would have guessed the other way round on those two. More on Muse below.)
The highest are:
Who Killed Amanda Palmer - 108
21st Century Breakdown - 109
American Idiot (musical) - 124
Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson - 128
Crash Love - 154
So both the early Garbage albums - despite a far less accurate play count - wildly outpace any albums added after the advent of itunes.
Other interesting tidbits:
- I am surprised American Idiot (the album) has a higher play count than 21st Century, since in general - AFI aside - a band's album produced by Butch Vig tends to be my favorite album of theirs. I would say 21st Century is my favorite, but I wonder if the more overt protest songs have... mmmm.... rung louder in the last decade. (I knew, obvs., that Crash Love is my favorite AFI album, outpacing the Vig-Produced Sing the Sorrow (112)] Also in this group is the Vig-produced Wasting Light (60).
- Amanda Palmer outpaces the Dresden Dolls (Yes, Virginia at 80.)
- For early Lana, Paradise (92) is higher than Born to Die (84).
- The oldest album in this group is Ziggy Stardust at 53.
- The three musicals in this group are 98, given two are in my top three of this category. That means the six musicals already in the playlist average out to 64 (pretty nonsensical, since RENT is SO low compared to any type of accurate count, but ah well.)
SO. Given all this, what can we determine about other albums that could be added?
Saturday, June 6, 2026
2025 Mixes
Wooo
Past mixes: 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024
Disc 1
1. Everybody Scream - Florence + The Machine. One of the two songs of the year.
2. Hold - Garbage. New album! And it's so good.
3. Holy Visions - AFI. New album! Ditto and Davey's current 80s biker look cracks me up.
4. Too Much - Dove Cameron. Such an earworm.
7. FIGHT (ft. Jake Shears) - Boyfriend. Boyfriend released her final album - a concept musical depicting the Garden of Eden through Eve's eyes. It's great and there's a bunch of it on these and this one's my favorite.
8. i like the way you kiss me - Cat Burns. Perfect cover
11. Nightmares - CHVRCHES. I didn't listen to this one a lot when Screen Violence came out, but revisited it this year.
15. Masquerade - Stereophonic. I finally got to see Stereophonic and it was as incredible as everyone said (here's a video of the cast I saw at Berkeley Rep and here's a shorter clip of the original broadway cast).
16. The Scythe - The Last Dinner Party. Hey! Video - who knew. Beautiful.
Disc 2
Sunday, March 15, 2026
Oscars Aftermath
Updates 3/15 in bold.
I really thought this would be more of a two-horse race, but despite the volume for Sinners in the room, I wonder if it didn't resonate with the international blocs as much?
Why was the sound so bad for this? Drop the applause mix for the clips. Make sure the mics work. Also - weird timing issues, right? Was it presenters not leaning into the bit? Not rehearsing? That said, I liked Conan again and, aside from the Diane Keaton bit, the In Memoriam was VERY well done. That line of actors for Rob Reiner just broke my heart.
Another bad year - 15, but I'm giving myself a bonus point for getting the tie, since I actually got 16 of the winners. My out-there picks mostly didn't pay off, documentary aside. 23 with spoilers - the only one I didn't get was Amy Madigan. I probably should have banked on the BAFTAs rewarding their own, but I really thought Sinners had more momentum.
Well, the nominations went shockingly well, so let's think good thoughts here.
Past years: 2024: 15 (double yikes) 2023: 18, 2022: 16 (yikes), 2021: 20, 2020: 17, 2019: 19 (Bong!), 2018: 20, 2017: 15 (Moonlight!), 2016: 17, 2015: 21, 2014: 20, 2013: 18, 2012: 17, 2011: 17, 2010: 17, 2009: 20/21?
Best Picture
Bugonia
F1
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another - will win, should win (afaik), did win
Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners - spoiler
Train Dreams
Look - I still need to see 5 of the films, but... I loved One Battle. It has also won all the precursors, save the SAGs. The actors are, historically the largest branch and voted Sinners, but I think the European contingent will go with the political resonance of One Battle. Sinners does have momentum, and I wonder if the BAFTAs swayed voting at all.
Overall, I think the noms will work out as:
Bugonia - 0
F1 - 0, sound
Frankenstein - costume, production design, makeup
Hamnet - actress
Marty Supreme - 0 inshallah
One Battle After Another - picture, director, adapted screenplay, editing, cinematography, casting, supporting actor
Secret Agent - international
Sentimental Value - supporting actor, international
Sinners - actor, supporting actress, original screenplay, casting, makeup, score, cinematography
Train Dreams - 0 - that seems sad.
Best Actress
Jessie Buckley - will win, did win
Rose Byrne - spoiler
Kate Hudson
Renate Reinsve
Emma Stone
HELL YES.
First Irish Best Actress Winner! (she said 'Go raibh maith agaibh, slán' or thank you, goodnight at the end there.)
Best Actor
Timothee Chalamet
Leonardo DiCaprio - spoiler
Ethan Hawke
Michael B Jordan - will win, did win
Wagner Moura
Yay!! (Would've been equally thrilled for Leo - he was brilliant and I loved David Ehrlich's essay on why it's a culmination of his work: https://letterboxd.com/davidehrlich/film/one-battle-after-another/reviews/)
Best Supporting Actress
Elle Fanning
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
Amy Madigan - did win
Wunmi Mosaku - will win
Teyana Taylor - spoiler
After all the cheering, I really thought Wunmi might have been in on the Sinners goodwill. I hope Amy has a wonderful hollywood community who is so thrilled for her right now. I love when long-time working actors get their due.
Best Supporting Actor
Benicio Del Toro
Jacob Elordi
Delroy Lindo
Sean Penn - spoiler, did win
Stellan Skarsgard - will win
Dude. Show up.
Director
Chloe Zhao
Josh Safdie
Paul Thomas Anderson - will win, did win
Joachim Trier
Ryan Coogler - spoiler
Thrilled he got it, and you have a chance to give another lovely speech about cinema, and... not so much. You wait that long, and you win for writing, you could come up with something approaching Sean Baker's speeches last year.
Original Screenplay
Blue Moon
It Was Just an Accident - spoiler
Marty Supreme
Sentimental Value
Sinners - will win, did win
Adapted Screenplay
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
One Battle - will win, did win
Train Dreams
Casting
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle - spoiler, did win
Secret Agent
Sinners - will win
Yay! I love this pick. Teyana was genius casting and Chase Infinity is such a find.
Animated
Arco
Elio
Kpop - will win, did win
Little Amelie
Zootopia - spoiler
No surprises here.
Documentary
The Alabama Solution
Come and See Me in the Good Light
Cutting Through Rocks
Mr. Nobody Against Putin - will win, did win
The Perfect Neighbor - spoiler
I CALLED THAT SHIT. (I am sorry Perfect Neighbor didn't win - it's an incredible achievement.)
International
The Secret Agent - will win
It Was Just an Accident
Sentimental Value - spoiler, did win
Sirat
The Voice of Hind Rajab
Yay film nerd from Norway!
Editing
Sentimental Value
F1
Marty Supreme
One Battle - will win, did win
Sinners - spoiler
Yup.
Cinematography
Frankenstein
Marty Supreme
Sinners - spoiler, did win
One Battle - will win
Train Dreams
*sigh* I really had some issues with the cinematography of sinners. Maybe it'll play better on a smaller screen, but it was so noticeable in IMAX. That said, fucking finally for a woman winning it. (Someone did note it should win for being a modern movie set at night where you can tell what is going on and AMEN TO THAT.)
Costumes
Avatar
Frankenstein - will win, did win
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
Sinners - spoiler
Malachite gown! Feather head!
Makeup
Frankenstein - spoiler, did win
Kokuho
Sinners - will win
Smashing Machine
Ugly Stepsister
Ah. Second time the Sinners momentum didn't carry the day.
Production Design
Frankenstein - will win, did win
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle - spoiler
Sinners
VFX
Avatar - will win, did win
F1
Jurassic World Rebirth
Lost Bus
Sinners - spoiler
Score
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
One Battle - spoiler
Sinners - will win, did win
Love Ludwig Göransson's work, AND really thought One Battle should've taken this. The score was so, so good.
Song
Dear Me (Diane Warren)
Golden (KPOP) - will win, did win
I Lied to You (Sinners) - spoiler
Sweet Dreams of Joy (Viva Verdi)
Train Dreams
ugghhhhhhhhhhh
Also - not showing the songs for that nonsense bridesmaid bit was a mess.
Sound
F1 - spoiler, did win
Frankenstein
One Battle
Sinners
Sirat - will win
Eh - predictable. Once Stellan didn't come through, I wasn't very surprised it went this way.
Short-Doc
All the Empty Rooms - will win, did win
The Devil is Busy
perfectly a strangeness - spoiler
Armed Only with a Camera
Children No More
Short-Live
Butcher's Stain
A Friend of Dorothy
Jane Austen's Period Drama
The Singers - will win, did win
Two People Exchanging Saliva - spoiler, did win
HOLY FUCK. When was the last time there was a tie?? [Update: thank you winner, for letting us know this is the 4th tie in history] [Update to the update: Marya Gates reliably informs us it is the 7th tie in history.]
I AM GIVING MYSELF A BONUS POINT FOR GETTING BOTH WINNERS
Short -Ani
Butterfly
Forevergreen
The Girl Who Cried Pearls - spoiler, did win
Retirement Plan - will win
The Tree Sisters
Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Oscar Predictions
Well, the nominations went shockingly well, so let's think good thoughts here.
Past years: 2024: 15 (double yikes) 2023: 18, 2022: 16 (yikes), 2021: 20, 2020: 17, 2019: 19 (Bong!), 2018: 20, 2017: 15 (Moonlight!), 2016: 17, 2015: 21, 2014: 20, 2013: 18, 2012: 17, 2011: 17, 2010: 17, 2009: 20/21?
Best Picture
Bugonia
F1
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another - will win, should win (afaik)
Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners - spoiler
Train Dreams
Look - I still need to see 5 of the films, but... I loved One Battle. It has also won all the precursors, save the SAGs. The actors are, historically the largest branch and voted Sinners, but I think the European contingent will go with the political resonance of One Battle. Sinners does have momentum, and I wonder if the BAFTAs swayed voting at all.
Overall, I think the noms will work out as:
Bugonia - 0
F1 - 0
Frankenstein - costume, production design
Hamnet - actress
Marty Supreme - 0 inshallah
One Battle After Another - picture, director, adapted screenplay, editing, cinematography
Secret Agent - international
Sentimental Value - supporting actor
Sinners - actor, supporting actress, original screenplay, casting, makeup, score
Train Dreams - 0 - that seems sad.
It really feels like a two-horse race, with some craft nods to Frankenstein.
Best Actress
Jessie Buckley - will win
Rose Byrne - spoiler
Kate Hudson
Renate Reinsve
Emma Stone
Best Actor
Timothee Chalamet
Leonardo DiCaprio - spoiler
Ethan Hawke
Michael B Jordan - will win
Wagner Moura
This one is tricky! BAFTAs went Robert Aramayo, Timothee won the CCA, Leo NSFC, GG split Timothee and Leo, Michael B Jordan won the SAG. I think Timothee is so annoying, folks will go Michael B Jordan, especially any late votes. (I think it's one of Leo's best performances, and Oscars don't tend to go comedy, and Michael B. Jordan was incredible.)
All that said, I could see vote splitting happening, and that ballet-dissing sonofabitch slipping in.
Best Supporting Actress
Elle Fanning
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
Amy Madigan
Wunmi Mosaku - will win
Teyana Taylor - spoiler
Another tough one. Amy got the SAG and CCA, Wunmi the BAFTA and Gotham, Teyana the NSFC and GG. I think Sentimental Value splits it, and I'll go BAFTA over SAG again, but this is close. I think the SAGs also like to reward working actors when they get a break, whereas the larger body is likely to go with One Battle en masse (and Teyana's part is a CLASSIC supporting role.)
Best Supporting Actor
Benicio Del Toro
Jacob Elordi
Delroy Lindo
Sean Penn - spoiler
Stellan Skarsgard - will win
Benicio won all the early critics picks and the NSFC, Jacob the CCA, Stellan the GG and Sean Penn the SAG and BAFTA. Smart money is on Sean Penn, and it's a flashy part, but I really wouldn't be surprised if Stellan got it for body of work from the European contingent. I wonder if he's more likeable? And if it ends up being a vote for Sentimental Value. I've gone back and forth on this one the most, but am landing Stellan, mostly because Sean Penn has won twice.
Director
Chloe Zhao
Josh Safdie
Paul Thomas Anderson - will win
Joachim Trier
Ryan Coogler - spoiler
Finally, an easy one.
Also - hey. I just heard why the Safdies split up and what the fuck. Why isn't that bigger news
Original Screenplay
Blue Moon
It Was Just an Accident - spoiler
Marty Supreme
Sentimental Value
Sinners - will win
I'm still mad Sorry, Baby didn't make it in.
Adapted Screenplay
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
One Battle - will win
Train Dreams
I genuinely don't think this needs a spoiler. It even won the scripter.
Casting
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle - spoilers
Secret Agent
Sinners - will win
New category! New category! Guild and CCA went sinners, so I'm going off that for the vibes.
Animated
Arco
Elio
Kpop - will win
Little Amelie
Zootopia - spoiler
Documentary
The Alabama Solution
Come and See Me in the Good Light
Cutting Through Rocks
Mr. Nobody Against Putin - will win
The Perfect Neighbor - spoiler
PGA/DGA went to non-noms, I feel like anti-Russia is usually the smart bet. Perfect Neighbor also won the CCA and was the NSFC runner up. The pundits are saying Perfect Neighbor, which I would not be mad about - I wish it had picked up an editing nod, too.
International
The Secret Agent - will win
It Was Just an Accident
Sentimental Value - spoiler
Sirat
The Voice of Hind Rajab
Secret Agnet won the GG, CCA, NSFC, Sentimental Value the BAFTA. It Was Just an Accident also has a good shot. I think folks might vote Stellan and Secret Agent to spread the love.
Editing
Sentimental Value
F1
Marty Supreme
One Battle - will win
Sinners - spoiler
Thrilled Sentimental Value got in here. F1 was flashy and got the CCA, but it's really between Battle (BAFTA, ACE-C) and Sinners (ACE-D). I think the car chase pips it?
Cinematography
Frankenstein
Marty Supreme
Sinners - spoiler
One Battle - will win
Train Dreams
Train Dreams wins in my heart. Imma be mad if Sinners takes it, much as we need more women to win this one. (I would love to see the Brazilian bloc rally around Train Dreams here.)
Costumes
Avatar
Frankenstein - will win
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
Sinners - spoiler
Makeup
Frankenstein - spoiler
Kokuho
Sinners - will win
Smashing Machine
Ugly Stepsister
Weirdly, the guild went Sinners, and I wouldn't be surprised if the momentum carries the day here.
Production Design
Frankenstein - will win
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle - spoiler
Sinners
VFX
Avatar - will win
F1
Jurassic World Rebirth
Lost Bus
Sinners - spoiler
Score
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
One Battle - spoiler
Sinners - will win
Song
Dear Me (Diane Warren)
Golden (KPOP) - will win
I Lied to You (Sinners) - spoiler
Sweet Dreams of Joy (Viva Verdi)
Train Dreams
I would be so, so happy if I lied to you took it. I hate Golden so much. (WHY didn't they go for This is What it Sounds Like?)
Sound
F1 - spoiler
Frankenstein
One Battle
Sinners
Sirat - will win
A little tricky! Sirat won the MPSE and EFA, F1 the CAS, BAFTA, and CCA. (Sinners and Frankenstein picked up the MPSEs for dialogue/foley.) Based purely on sound, I think it's F1 (and the smart money), but I wonder if people throw support behind Sirat here, or if Sinners picks up part of a sweep.
Short-Doc
All the Empty Rooms - will win
The Devil is Busy
perfectly a strangeness - spoiler
Armed Only with a Camera
Children No More
All the Empty Rooms won the CinemaEye, the ACE Eddie, got an IDA special mention, a CCA nom, and Short of the Week top 5. perfectly a strangeness got a CinemaEye nom, IDA special mention and SOTW top 5. (I'd kind of love for perfectly to win.)
Short-Live
Butcher's Stain
A Friend of Dorothy
Jane Austen's Period Drama
The Singers - will win
Two People Exchanging Saliva - spoiler
Short of the Week put the last 2 in their top 5 for the year, so I'm kinda pulling for two people, but playing it safe with Netflix for my pick.
Short -Ani
Butterfly
Forevergreen
The Girl Who Cried Pearls - spoiler
Retirement Plan - will win
The Tree Sisters
Again - SOTW put the last two in the top 5. The Annies nominated Girl who Cried Pearls.
Thursday, February 12, 2026
52 Films by Women - 2025
Clearing the decks for (hopefully) a better movie viewing year than last. Given that I saw 1/4 of the movies I normally do, this will be fast.
2024 (12/8), 2023 (27/18), 2022 (12/50), 2021 (21/37), 2020 (23/4), 2019 (15/25), 2018 (22/20).
(2/2 which - given I saw a third of what I usually see, is still pretty rough. I've already seen more this year with Sundance and - I have a feeling - that's part of why Sundance felt stronger this year than last.)
Features
Sorry, Baby (2025, Eva Victor). 4 stars. One of my absolute favorite films of the year. Such an incredible debut. I can't wait to see more. Still devastated it didn't get its screenplay nomination.
The Perfect Neighbor (2025, Geeta Gandbhir). 3.5 stars. Thrilled this is up for best documentary - I thought it might have had a shot at editing, too. Chilling and very well done.
Shorts
Relationship to Patient (2024, Caroline Creaghead). 3 stars. I really liked Eleanore Pienta in this, enough so that I was delighted when she showed up in Josephine.
Holiday House (2024, Alex Heller). 3 stars.
Thursday, January 22, 2026
2025 Oscar nom predictions
Why are the Oscar noms coming out before at least a couple of guilds? Who knows.
I haven't seen a lot of the frontrunners. Will that help? Hinder? Who's to say.
Also I am SO excited that finally - finally! - members will have to have watched every nominated film in a category to vote in it. I don't think that holds true for the noms, but I think it's long overdue as a rule.
Past years:
2024 (89/120 (74.2%); 110/120 (91.67%))
2022 (91/120 (75.8%); 114/120 (95%))
2021 (79/120 (65.8%); 108/120 (90%))
2020 (84/118 (71%); 110/118 (93%))
2019 (88/124 (71%); 113/124 (91%))
2018 (91/121 (75%); 113/121 (93.4%))
2017 (90/122 (73.8%); 118/122 (96.7%))
Once again, I'm going to put correct in bold purple (or blue for spoilers), and anything totally missed in italic red. Color commentary after the noms in burgundy.
Total: 99/125 (79.2%) New personal best!
With Spoilers: 119/125 (95.2%) Second best!
Perfect Categories: Best Actor, Director, Adapted screenplay, International, Animated, Cinematography, Sound - 7!!! That's my best total ever.
Missed Entirely: Sentimental Value for editing (very exciting! And I hope it means good things for the film - I'm delighted it got as many nods as Frankenstein/Marty Supreme and Editing is an important one! (Although I do think Docs with years of footage are unfairly overlooked in general)), Avatar for costume - what??, Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi - yay for classical lovers I guess? What an unusual pick for the Oscars, Butcher's Stain and Jane Austen's Period Drama for live short, Three Sisters for animated short.
Best Picture
Definite
1. Frankenstein
2. Hamnet
3. Marty Supreme
4. One Battle After Another
5. Sinners
6. Sentimental Value
Likely
7. The Secret Agent
8. Train Dreams
9. Bugonia
Maybe
10. It Was Just An Accident
Spoilers
F1
Weapons
Blue Moon
No Other Choice
Sirat
Editing
Ace Eddie noms aren't out, so...
One Battle
Marty Supreme
Sinners
Perfect Neighbor
F1
Sentimental Value - Delighted by this! It really wasn't on the radar and that shows how beloved it is.
Spoilers
Hamnet
House of Dynamite
Frankenstein
Weapons
Bugonia
Best Actress
Chase Infiniti - One Battle After Another (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-C, Gotham nom-deb, NBR won-deb)
Emma Stone - Bugonia (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-C)
Jessie Buckley - Hamnet (SAG, BAFTA ll, WON-CCA, WON GG-D, Gotham)
Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Value (BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-D, NSFC runner up)
Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, WON GG-C, NSFC runner up, Indie, WON NBR, WON NYFCC)
Spoilers
Kate Hudson - Song Sung Blue (SAG, BAFTA ll, GG-C)
Amanda Seyfried - Testament of Ann Lee (CCA, GG-C, Gotham)
Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby (GG-D) She doesn't really have a chance, I don't think, but I would LOVE to see her get in over Emma Stone
Jennifer Lawrence - Die My Love (BAFTA ll, GG-D, Gotham, Brit Indie)
Tessa Thompson - Hedda (BAFTA ll, GG-D, Gotham, Indie)
Best Actor
Ethan Hawke - Blue Moon (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-C, WON-NSFC, Gotham, WON-LAFC)
Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-C, WON-NBR)
Michael B. Jordan - Sinners (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-D, NSFC Runner Up)
Timothee Chalamet - Marty Supreme (SAG, BAFTA ll, WON-CCA, WON-GG C, LAFC Runner Up)
Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent (CCA, WON-GG D, NSFC Runner Up, Gotham, WON NYFC, LAFC Runner Up)
Spoilers
Jesse Plemons - Bugonia (SAG, BAFTA ll, GG-C)
Joel Edgerton - Train Dreams (BAFTA ll, CCA, GG-D, Indie)
Lee Byung-hun - No Other Choice (GG-C, Gotham)
I would like Josh O'Connor - The Mastermind (Gotham) or Ben Whishaw - Peter Hujar's Day (Indie), but neither really has a chance.
Best Supporting Actress
Teyana Taylor - One Battle (SAG, BAFTA ll, WON-NSFC, CCA, WON-GG, Gotham, WON-LAFC)
Wunmi Mosaku - Sinners (SAG, BAFTA ll, NSFC Runner Up, CCA, WON Gotham)
I am real torn on Amy Madigan - Weapons (SAG, BAFTA ll, WON-CCA, GG, WON-NYFC). Horror rarely breaks through, but SAGs are good predictors...
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentimental Value (BAFTA ll, NSFC Runner up, CCA, GG, Gotham, WON NBR, LAFC Runner up)
Odessa A'zion - Marty Supreme (SAG, BAFTA ll)
Spoilers
Elle Fanning - Sentimental Value (CCA, GG) I'd love for her to get in, but I think the Sentimental Value votes will split. Yaaaaaaaaay!
Ariana Grande - Wicked (SAG, BAFTA ll, GG)
Emily Blunt - Smashing Machine (GG)
... Emily Watson - Hamnet (BAFTA ll)?? Zoey Deutch - Nouvelle Vague (Indie)??
Best Supporting Actor
Benicio del Toro - One Battle (SAG, BAFTA ll, WON-NSFC, CCA, GG, Gotham, WON-NBR, WON - NYFC)
Jacob Elordi - Frankenstein (SAG, BAFTA ll, WON-CCA, GG, Gotham)
Paul Mescal - Hamnet (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG)
Sean Penn - One Battle (SAG, BAFTA ll, CCA, GG)
Stellan Skarsgård - Sentimental Value (BAFTA ll, NSFC Runner Up, CCA, WON-GG, Gotham)
Spoilers
Adam Sandler - Jay Kelly (BAFTA ll, CCA, GG, Gotham,
Andrew Scott - Blue Moon (BAFTA ll, Gotham)
Miles Canton - Sinners (SAG, CCA WON-young)
Alexander Skarsgård - Pillion (BAFTA ll, Gotham, Brit Indie). A - I would love for father and son to be nominated together, B - given the acclaim its received in the UK, I do NOT understand A24's distribution strategy here. Whyyyy isn't it out already??
Delroy Lindo - Sinners (BAFTA ll, NSFC Runner Up)
Director
Chloe Zhao - Hamnet (DGA, CCA, BAFTA ll, GG)
Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme (DGA, CCA, BAFTA ll, GG)
Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle (DGA, WON-CCA, BAFTA ll, NSFC - WON, GG-WON, Gotham, WON-NBR, WON - LAFC)
Ryan Coogler - Sinners (DGA, CCA, BAFTA ll, GG, LAFC Runner Up
Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value (CCA, BAFTA ll, GG, WON-EFA,
Spoilers
Guillermo del Toro - Frankenstein (DGA, CCA)
Jafar Panahi - It Was Just an Accident (NSFC Runner Up, GG, WON-Gotham, WON-NYFC, EFA)
I would love either Eva Victor (DGA nom-deb) or Harry Lighton (DGA nom-deb) and Kelly Reichardt (Gotham) and Lynne Ramsey (BAFTA ll, Brit Indie)
Original Screenplay
WGA noms aren't out yet, so...
It Was Just an Accident (BAFTA ll, WON-NSFC, GG, WON-Gotham, WON-LAFC, EFA)
Marty Supreme (BAFTA ll, CCA, GG, WON-NYFC)
Sentimental Value (BAFTA ll, CCA, GG, WON-EFA)
Sinners (BAFTA ll, WON-CCA, GG, WON-NBR
Sorry Baby (CCA, Gotham, Indie, LAFC Runner Up) - really hoping this one squeaks in. *sigh* I did see some pundits also think it had momentum. I'm so sad it didn't get it.
Spoilers
The Secret Agent (BAFTA ll, NSFC Runner Up, Gotham)
Blue Moon (BAFTA ll, NSFC Runner Up). Awww - man! I swapped this one last minute with Sorry Baby.
Jay Kelly (CCA)
Weapons (BAFTA ll, CCA)
Is This Thing on (BAFTA ll)
Adapted Screenplay
Hamnet (BAFTA ll, CCA, GG, USC)
One Battle (BAFTA ll, WON-CCA, WON-GG, USC, Gotham)
Train Dreams (BAFTA ll, CCA, USC, Gotham, WON-NBR
Bugonia (BAFTA ll, CCA)
Frankenstein (BAFTA ll, CCA, USC). I will be mad. I have thoughts about this script.
Spoilers
Peter Hujar's Day (USC)
No Other Choice (CCA, Gotham)
Pillion (BAFTA ll, WON-Gotham, Brit Indie, WON Brit Indie-deb)
Ballad of Wallis Island (BAFTA ll, WON Brit Indie, Brit Indie-deb). If only...
Nuremberg (BAFTA ll)
Casting
New category! New category! No history vibes to rely on! (Stunts starts in a couple of years)
Hamnet (Guilde, BAFTA ll, CCA). Typo, but it made me laugh.
Marty Supreme (Guild, BAFTA ll, CCA)
One Battle (BAFTA ll, CCA)
Sinners (Guild, BAFTA ll, WON-CCA)
Sentimental Value (Guild-indie, BAFTA ll) Surprised by this one!
Spoilers
Frankenstein (Guild, BAFTA ll)
Sirât (BAFTA ll, WON-EFA)
The Secret Agent
Weapons
Wicked
Animated
Arco
Elio
KPop Demon Hunters
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
Zootopia 2
Spoilers
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba
In Your Dreams
Dog of God
Olivia and the Invisible Earthquake
Pašš
Documentary
Alabama Solution
Cover-Up
Mr. Nobody Against Putin
Perfect Neighbor
My Undesirable Friends
Spoilers
Cutting through Rocks
Mistress Dispeller
2000 Meters to Andriivka
Come and See Me in the Good Light
Apocalypse in the Tropics
International
It Was Just an Accident
Voice of Hind Rajab
Sentimental Value
Sirāt
Secret Agent
Spoilers
No Other Choice
Left Handed Girl
Belén
All That's Left of You
Sound of Falling
Cinematography
Frankenstein
Marty Supreme
One Battle
Sinners
Train Dreams
Spoilers
Hamnet
F1
Die My Love
Bugonia
Sirât
Costume
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Hedda
Sinners
Wicked
Spoilers
Marty Supreme
One Battle
Downton Abbey
Kiss of the Spider Woman
Bugonia
In a perfect world - Pillion? (WON Brit Indie) Sound of Falling (WON EFA)?
Avatar. Say what now?
Makeup
Frankenstein
Sinners
Wicked
Smashing Machine
One Battle
Spoilers
Marty Supreme
Nuremberg
Alto Knights
Kokuho
Ugly Stepsister
Production Design
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
Sinners
Wicked for Good. Boy, people are big mad at how bad the second one was.
Spoilers
Fantastic Four
One Battle - I do wonder if momentum will bump this? Shoulda listened to my gut!
Bugonia
Avatar
Sirat
Visual Effects
Avatar
F1
Superman
Lost Bus
Sinners
Spoilers
Frankenstein
Jurassic World Rebirth Ugggghhhhh I can't believe I swapped these two last minute
Tron:Ares
Wicked
Electric State
Score
Marty Supreme
Sinners
Hamnet
One Battle
Sirât
Spoilers
Frankenstein
Wicked
F1
Bugonia
In a perfect world - Ballad of Wallis Island (BAFTA ll, WON-Brit Indie)
Song
Dear Me - Diane Warren. I have learned my lesson.
I Lied to You - Sinners
Golden - Kpop Demon Hunters. I hate this song so much. It is SO SCREECHY. It hurts my ears. Pick This is What it Sounds Like instead.
Train Dreams
The Girl in the Bubble - Wicked
Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi
Spoilers
Dream as One - Avatar
No Place like Home - Wicked
Last Time - Sinners
Our Love - Ballad of Wallis Island
Drive - F1
I would love for Trent Reznor to finally be up, but the Academy seems to hold a grudge. I'd be thrilled if Billy Idol performed at the Oscars. And it's still wild to me that Clothed by the Sun wasn't shortlisted.
Sound
F1
Frankenstein
One Battle
Sinners
Sirat
Spoilers
Mission Impossible
Avatar
Wicked
Superman
Sprinsteen
Short Doc
All the Empty Rooms
The Devil is Busy
perfectly a strangeness
We Were the Scenery
Classtoom 4
Spoilers
Armed Only with a Camera: the life and death of Brent Renaud
On Healing Land, Birds Perch
Children No More: Were and Are Gone
All the Walls Came Down
Heartbeat
Short Live
The Pearl Comb
Two People Exchanging Saliva
Beyond Silence
Amarela
The Singers
Spoilers
Rock, Paper Scissors
The Boy with White Skin
A Friend of Dorothy
Extremist
Pantyhose
Butcher's Stain. Maaan. I took this off the spoilers list last minute.
Jane Austen's Period Drama. I did not have this on.
Short Animated
Cardboard
Girl who Cried Pearls
Snow Bear
Retirement Plan
Night Boots
Spoilers
Éiru
Shyness of Trees
Autokar
Forevergreen
Butterfly
Three Sisters
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)